Few things are more important for human
survival than food, yet this essential commodity
rarely receives as much attention as
oil and energy when discussion turns to the
new demand created by emerging markets.
Truth is, members of the newly minted
middle class from Sao Paolo to Xiamen want
more than just a new car in the driveway—
they also want a burger and fries.
In China, the trend is already well established:
as rural populations urbanize, they consume
more meat and less grain. Already, China’s
urban dwellers are said to consume roughly
three times as much meat as their rural
counterparts.
However, that doesn’t mean the demand for gain is falling, because it takes up to seven
pounds of grain to produce a single pound
of pork.
Meanwhile, western economies are also
hungry for more grains. The ethanol and
biodiesel industries are devouring corn
and soybeans at a rate that could grow
significantly as governments offer incentives
and apply pressure to develop alternative
energy sources.

If, as many believe, food is set to become a long-term growth industry, we’re all going to
start experiencing higher prices. Fortunately,
there may be an opportunity to offset your
rising grocery bill by investing in the prosperity
of the food business. Here are some ideas:
Futures
Futures contracts let you tap into the price
performance of a whole range of agricultural
commodities. The Chicago Board of Trade
groups its agricultural commodity products under three main categories: grains and
oilseeds, livestock, and dairy. The downside?
Futures trading is not for amateurs, and
because the contracts are highly leveraged,
the potential for quick gains is matched by
the possibility of steep losses.
Stocks
The stock market lets you approach the
food boom from a couple of angles. You
can invest in companies that are directly
involved in agriculture, such as food
processors, biotechnology firms, and seed
and fertilizer manufacturers. You can also
gain indirect exposure through companies
that supply agricultural equipment and
machinery, or those that are involved in
shipping foodstuffs.
Exchange Traded Funds
For many investors, a sensible approach is
to consider buying an Exchange Traded Fund
(ETF) or two. Some types of agriculturebased
ETFs hold a diversified pool of
commodity futures contracts, and others
invest in a basket of agricultural stocks.
Owning one of each type may offer exposure
that is both well balanced and cost effective.
Our view
We believe that once global economic
growth resumes, it’s just a matter of time
before rising food demand is recognized as
one of the world’s most important investment
trends. We note a distinct lack of
actively managed agriculture funds available
in today’s marketplace, and this may indicate
an area of untapped opportunity. // |